Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Municipal de Chapín
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.21) 0.49 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.1% 35.1% 17.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.7%
1 - 0
22.6%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lorca Deportiva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Xerez 0 22.7% 11.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.6% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricXerezLorca Deportiva
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack64%82%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Xerez Lorca Deportiva
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins75%33%50%40%40%40%
Draws0%50%30%40%20%30%
Loses25%17%20%20%40%30%

Form: Xerez: LWDLDWWWDW • Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDWWWW

League goals

Metric Xerez Lorca Deportiva
HATHAT
GF total47114812
GF avg1.01.21.10.81.61.2
GA total167369
GA avg0.31.00.70.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineXerezLorca Deportiva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%50%70%60%
1.530%20%30%30%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricXerezLorca Deportiva
HATHAT
Clean sheets325314
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricXerezLorca Deportiva
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricXerezLorca Deportiva
Wins30
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-11-3
Biggest losses0-12-11-22-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricXerezLorca Deportiva
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Xerez or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.43 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Xerez = 1.00 (league 1.21), Lorca Deportiva = 0.49 (league 0.98)

Lorca Deportiva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Xerez 0 22.7% 11.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.6% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 17.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1