Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio El Rubial
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.20) 1.00 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.8% 26.9% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.7%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Estepona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Águilas 0 9.0% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.7% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÁguilasEstepona
Played55
Form67%0%
Attack82%36%
Defense64%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Águilas Estepona
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%50%55%0%40%18%
Draws20%33%27%17%0%9%
Loses20%17%18%83%60%73%

Form: Águilas: WDDLWWDWLWW • Estepona: DLLWLWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Águilas Estepona
HATHAT
GF total78154610
GF avg1.41.31.40.71.20.9
GA total44811617
GA avg0.80.70.71.81.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÁguilasEstepona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%64%82%
1.536%9%18%55%
2.518%0%9%18%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÁguilasEstepona
HATHAT
Clean sheets224022
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricÁguilasEstepona
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricÁguilasEstepona
Wins21
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-30-3
Biggest losses1-21-01-32-0
Goals For3313
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricÁguilasEstepona
Form100%0%
Att69%31%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h36%64%
Goals38%63%
Total55.6%44.6%

Advice: Double chance : Águilas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away5.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Pinnacle
No1.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Águilas = 1.40 (league 1.20), Estepona = 1.00 (league 0.96)

Estepona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Águilas 0 9.0% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.7% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 26.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1