Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.22) 0.51 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 31.3% 16.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.7%
0 - 0
18.4%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Melilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorca Deportiva 0 18.4% 9.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 11.1% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLorca DeportivaMelilla
Played55
Form100%33%
Attack91%55%
Defense73%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lorca Deportiva Melilla
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%50%45%33%0%18%
Draws40%17%27%67%20%45%
Loses20%33%27%0%80%36%

Form: Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDWWWWW • Melilla: WLDLDDWLDLD

League goals

Metric Lorca Deportiva Melilla
HATHAT
GF total49138412
GF avg0.81.51.21.30.81.1
GA total3695914
GA avg0.61.00.80.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLorca DeportivaMelilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%55%73%82%
1.527%27%36%27%
2.518%0%0%18%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLorca DeportivaMelilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricLorca DeportivaMelilla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLorca DeportivaMelilla
Wins01
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-0—
Biggest losses1-22-1—3-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricLorca DeportivaMelilla
Form75%25%
Att63%38%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.8%29.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lorca Deportiva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lorca Deportiva = 1.18 (league 1.22), Melilla = 0.51 (league 0.94)

Melilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorca Deportiva 0 18.4% 9.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 11.1% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 16.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1