Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:00 •
Nuevo Estadio La Victoria
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.22)
1.03 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.1% | 26.2% | 26.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Ucam Murcia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Jaén | 0 | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Jaén | Ucam Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 18% | 64% |
| Defense | 36% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Jaén | Ucam Murcia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 36% | 71% | 17% | 46% |
| Draws | 17% | 38% | 29% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Loses | 33% | 38% | 36% | 0% | 50% | 23% |
Form: Real Jaén: DLWWWDDWDLLWLL • Ucam Murcia: LWDDDWWWDLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Real Jaén | Ucam Murcia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Jaén | Ucam Murcia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 93% | 77% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 21% | 54% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Jaén | Ucam Murcia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Jaén | Ucam Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Jaén | Ucam Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Jaén | Ucam Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 38.3% | 61.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ucam Murcia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Jaén = 1.48 (league 1.22), Ucam Murcia = 1.03 (league 0.98)
| Ucam Murcia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Jaén | 0 | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 26.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1