Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio El Rubial
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.19) 0.65 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 22.7% 13.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Real Jaén
0 1 2 3 4 5
Águilas 0 9.1% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 10.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÁguilasReal Jaén
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack78%22%
Defense89%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Águilas Real Jaén
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins71%50%60%43%25%33%
Draws14%38%27%14%38%27%
Loses14%13%13%43%38%40%

Form: Águilas: WDDLWWDWLWWWDWW • Real Jaén: DLWWWDDWDLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Águilas Real Jaén
HATHAT
GF total119207714
GF avg1.61.11.31.00.90.9
GA total54991019
GA avg0.70.50.61.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÁguilasReal Jaén
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%53%53%93%
1.540%7%33%27%
2.513%0%7%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÁguilasReal Jaén
HATHAT
Clean sheets347011
Failed to score123347

Penalties

MetricÁguilasReal Jaén
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricÁguilasReal Jaén
Wins33
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-12-3
Biggest losses1-21-00-32-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricÁguilasReal Jaén
Form81%19%
Att78%22%
Def90%10%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total80.5%19.5%

Advice: Double chance : Águilas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away5.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.48 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Águilas = 1.75 (league 1.19), Real Jaén = 0.65 (league 0.97)

Real Jaén
0 1 2 3 4 5
Águilas 0 9.1% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 10.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 13.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1