Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.19) 1.95 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.7% 21.0% 62.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Almería II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estepona 0 6.3% 12.4% 12.1% 7.9% 3.8% 1.5%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.7% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.1% 4.0% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsteponaAlmería II
Played55
Form0%53%
Attack30%60%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estepona Almería II
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins0%29%13%13%29%20%
Draws13%0%7%25%14%20%
Loses88%71%80%63%57%60%

Form: Estepona: DLLWLWLLLLLLLLL • Almería II: LWLLLLLLLDWWDLD

League goals

Metric Estepona Almería II
HATHAT
GF total57123710
GF avg0.61.00.80.41.00.7
GA total151126101121
GA avg1.91.61.71.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsteponaAlmería II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%87%47%80%
1.513%67%7%40%
2.57%20%7%13%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsteponaAlmería II
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score336538

Penalties

MetricEsteponaAlmería II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEsteponaAlmería II
Wins12
Draws11
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-31-02-4
Biggest losses1-33-00-34-0
Goals For1314
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricEsteponaAlmería II
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total38.2%61.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Almería II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estepona = 0.81 (league 1.19), Almería II = 1.95 (league 0.97)

Almería II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estepona 0 6.3% 12.4% 12.1% 7.9% 3.8% 1.5%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.7% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.1% 4.0% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 62.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1