Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:30 • Estadio Municipal de Chapín
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.20) 1.46 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.0% 24.9% 38.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
8.5%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lorca Deportiva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Xerez Deportivo 0 5.7% 8.3% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.0% 11.7% 8.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.2% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricXerez DeportivoLorca Deportiva
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack100%71%
Defense57%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Xerez Deportivo Lorca Deportiva
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%29%33%50%43%47%
Draws50%29%40%25%14%20%
Loses13%43%27%25%43%33%

Form: Xerez Deportivo: LDDLWLDLWDDWWDW • Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDWWWWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Xerez Deportivo Lorca Deportiva
HATHAT
GF total10102071017
GF avg1.31.41.30.91.41.1
GA total810185914
GA avg1.01.41.20.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineXerez DeportivoLorca Deportiva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%73%60%
1.533%27%27%27%
2.50%13%13%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricXerez DeportivoLorca Deportiva
HATHAT
Clean sheets213426
Failed to score000314

Penalties

MetricXerez DeportivoLorca Deportiva
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricXerez DeportivoLorca Deportiva
Wins27
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-11-3
Biggest losses1-33-21-23-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricXerez DeportivoLorca Deportiva
Form55%45%
Att58%42%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.3%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Xerez Deportivo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Xerez Deportivo = 1.41 (league 1.20), Lorca Deportiva = 1.46 (league 0.96)

Lorca Deportiva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Xerez Deportivo 0 5.7% 8.3% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.0% 11.7% 8.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.2% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 38.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1