Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.20) 0.63 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.6% 31.9% 20.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 0
17.3%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Almería II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorca Deportiva 0 17.3% 10.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.0% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLorca DeportivaAlmería II
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack80%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lorca Deportiva Almería II
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%38%44%13%25%19%
Draws25%25%25%25%25%25%
Loses25%38%31%63%50%56%

Form: Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDWWWWWWWLLD • Almería II: LWLLLLLLLDWWDLDD

League goals

Metric Lorca Deportiva Almería II
HATHAT
GF total710173811
GF avg0.91.31.10.41.00.7
GA total5914101222
GA avg0.61.10.91.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLorca DeportivaAlmería II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%56%50%81%
1.525%25%6%38%
2.513%6%6%13%
3.50%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLorca DeportivaAlmería II
HATHAT
Clean sheets437213
Failed to score325538

Penalties

MetricLorca DeportivaAlmería II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricLorca DeportivaAlmería II
Wins72
Draws11
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-31-02-4
Biggest losses1-23-10-34-0
Goals For2314
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricLorca DeportivaAlmería II
Form54%46%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lorca Deportiva or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away4.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lorca Deportiva = 1.13 (league 1.20), Almería II = 0.63 (league 0.96)

Almería II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorca Deportiva 0 17.3% 10.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.0% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 20.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1