Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal Manuel Polinario
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.30)
0.87 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5% | 34.8% | 35.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
17.0%
1 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lorca Deportiva | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Puente Genil | 0 | 19.6% | 17.0% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Puente Genil | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 42% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Puente Genil | Lorca Deportiva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 56% | 38% | 47% |
| Draws | 67% | 13% | 41% | 22% | 25% | 24% |
| Loses | 0% | 63% | 29% | 22% | 38% | 29% |
Puente GenilWWDDDLDWLLDLDWWDL
Lorca DeportivaDLLDLDWWWWWWWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Puente Genil | Lorca Deportiva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Puente Genil | Lorca Deportiva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 71% | 71% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 12% | 24% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 6% | 12% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Puente Genil | Lorca Deportiva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Puente Genil | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Puente Genil | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Puente Genil | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.03 @ 188Bet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.74 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.45 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.45 @ Pinnacle
No1.72 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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