Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Chapín
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.22) 0.19 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.9% 37.8% 7.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.7%
1 - 0
30.3%
2 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Melilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Xerez 0 31.7% 6.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.3% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.5% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricXerezMelilla
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack67%44%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Xerez Melilla
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins67%36%50%40%0%20%
Draws11%27%20%60%40%50%
Loses22%36%30%0%60%30%

Form: Xerez: LWDLDWWWDWLWWLWLWWDL • Melilla: WLDLDDWLDLDLDWDDDWLD

League goals

Metric Xerez Melilla
HATHAT
GF total8142214620
GF avg0.91.31.11.40.61.0
GA total3141771320
GA avg0.31.30.90.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineXerezMelilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%60%65%65%
1.530%20%30%25%
2.55%5%5%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricXerezMelilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets628527
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricXerezMelilla
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricXerezMelilla
Wins31
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-0—
Biggest losses0-12-0—3-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricXerezMelilla
Form54%46%
Att60%40%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Xerez or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Xerez = 0.96 (league 1.22), Melilla = 0.19 (league 0.94)

Melilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Xerez 0 31.7% 6.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.3% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.5% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.9% · Draw 37.8% · Away win 7.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1