Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.30)
2.18 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.4% | 18.7% | 66.5% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.1%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Xerez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estepona | 0 | 5.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estepona | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estepona | Xerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 9% | 30% | 19% | 70% | 36% | 52% |
| Draws | 27% | 10% | 19% | 10% | 27% | 19% |
| Loses | 64% | 60% | 62% | 20% | 36% | 29% |
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XerezLWDLDWWWDWLWWLWLWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Estepona | Xerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 16 | 33 | 3 | 14 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estepona | Xerez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 76% | 76% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 52% | 29% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 19% | 5% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estepona | Xerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estepona | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estepona | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estepona | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.70 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.60 @ 188Bet
No1.53 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
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League standings
Loading standings…