Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Chapín
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.30)
1.00 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.4% | 29.9% | 32.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.4%
0 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Jaén | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Xerez Deportivo | 0 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Xerez Deportivo | Real Jaén |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 73% |
| Attack | 43% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Xerez Deportivo | Real Jaén | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 33% | 18% | 26% | 55% | 25% | 39% |
| Draws | 50% | 27% | 39% | 18% | 50% | 35% |
| Loses | 17% | 55% | 35% | 27% | 25% | 26% |
Xerez DeportivoLDDLWLDLWDDWWDWDLWLLLDD
Real JaénDLWWWDDWDLLWLLLDWDWDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Xerez Deportivo | Real Jaén | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Xerez Deportivo | Real Jaén | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 78% | 65% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 35% | 35% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 13% | 13% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Xerez Deportivo | Real Jaén | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Xerez Deportivo | Real Jaén |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Xerez Deportivo | Real Jaén |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Xerez Deportivo | Real Jaén |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 15% | 85% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 30.6% | 69.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.75 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.34 @ 188Bet
No1.66 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.80 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.45 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…