Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio de La Condomina
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.30)
0.71 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.2% | 21.8% | 13.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Almería II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ucam Murcia | 0 | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Almería II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 78% | 44% |
| Defense | 11% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Almería II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 64% | 36% | 50% | 9% | 18% | 14% |
| Draws | 27% | 18% | 23% | 36% | 18% | 27% |
| Loses | 9% | 45% | 27% | 55% | 64% | 59% |
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Almería IILWLLLLLLLDWWDLDDLLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Almería II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 15 | 24 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ucam Murcia | Almería II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 77% | 55% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 32% | 5% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 5% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Almería II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Almería II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Almería II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 1-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Almería II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 71.5% | 28.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.39 @ Betano
Draw4.31 @ Pinnacle
Away10.80 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.90 @ William Hill
No1.50 @ Unibet
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League standings
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