Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Francisco de la Hera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.22) 2.09 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.8% 19.4% 33.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.1%
2 - 1
6.8%
1 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lorca Deportiva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Extremadura 1924 0 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
1 2.8% 5.8% 6.1% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.3% 6.8% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.3% 5.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExtremadura 1924Lorca Deportiva
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack100%75%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Extremadura 1924 Lorca Deportiva
HATHAT
Played111223121224
Wins64%17%39%58%33%46%
Draws27%50%39%25%25%25%
Loses9%33%22%17%42%29%

Form: Extremadura 1924: WWWWDDLWDWDLLDDWLDLWDWD • Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDWWWWWWWLLDWLLDWWDW

League goals

Metric Extremadura 1924 Lorca Deportiva
HATHAT
GF total241034111526
GF avg2.20.81.50.91.31.1
GA total16132951621
GA avg1.51.11.30.41.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExtremadura 1924Lorca Deportiva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%74%71%54%
1.543%39%29%21%
2.522%9%8%8%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExtremadura 1924Lorca Deportiva
HATHAT
Clean sheets2468311
Failed to score044437

Penalties

MetricExtremadura 1924Lorca Deportiva
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricExtremadura 1924Lorca Deportiva
Wins47
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses2-43-11-24-2
Goals For3223
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricExtremadura 1924Lorca Deportiva
Form42%58%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lorca Deportiva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away4.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Extremadura 1924 = 2.34 (league 1.22), Lorca Deportiva = 2.09 (league 0.93)

Lorca Deportiva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Extremadura 1924 0 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
1 2.8% 5.8% 6.1% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.3% 6.8% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.3% 5.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 33.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1