Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 16:30 •
Nuevo Estadio La Victoria
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.22)
1.07 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.9% | 27.2% | 29.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Xerez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Jaén | 0 | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Jaén | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 64% | 55% |
| Defense | 64% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Jaén | Xerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 62% | 27% | 43% | 71% | 36% | 54% |
| Draws | 15% | 47% | 32% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 23% | 27% | 25% | 14% | 36% | 25% |
Form: Real Jaén: DLWWWDDWDLLWLLLDWDWDDWWWWDWL • Xerez: LWDLDWWWDWLWWLWLWWDLWDDLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Real Jaén | Xerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 14 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 5 | 16 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Jaén | Xerez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 79% | 75% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 18% | 29% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Jaén | Xerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Jaén | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Jaén | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Jaén | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Xerez
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Jaén = 1.35 (league 1.22), Xerez = 1.07 (league 0.93)
| Xerez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Jaén | 0 | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 29.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1