Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 16:30 • Estadio El Rubial
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.24) 0.79 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.5% 25.3% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Xerez Deportivo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Águilas 0 9.4% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÁguilasXerez Deportivo
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack42%25%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Águilas Xerez Deportivo
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins57%40%48%33%21%28%
Draws21%27%24%40%29%34%
Loses21%33%28%27%50%38%

Form: Águilas: WDDLWWDWLWWWDWWDLWDLWWWDLWLLL • Xerez Deportivo: LDDLWLDLWDDWWDWDLWLLLDDLDLWWL

League goals

Metric Águilas Xerez Deportivo
HATHAT
GF total211536181331
GF avg1.51.01.21.20.91.1
GA total111223171835
GA avg0.80.80.81.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÁguilasXerez Deportivo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%66%76%76%
1.534%10%24%34%
2.517%3%3%10%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÁguilasXerez Deportivo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510437
Failed to score358347

Penalties

MetricÁguilasXerez Deportivo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricÁguilasXerez Deportivo
Wins32
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-20-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-33-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricÁguilasXerez Deportivo
Form30%70%
Att63%38%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Águilas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away5.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.44 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Águilas = 1.57 (league 1.24), Xerez Deportivo = 0.79 (league 0.92)

Xerez Deportivo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Águilas 0 9.4% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 18.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1