Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.30)
0.61 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.8% | 37.2% | 25.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.6%
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Xerez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lorca Deportiva | 0 | 23.6% | 14.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 63% |
| Defense | 25% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Xerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 53% | 27% | 40% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 27% | 27% | 27% | 13% | 27% | 20% |
| Loses | 20% | 47% | 33% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Lorca DeportivaDLLDLDWWWWWWWLLDWLLDWWDWLWLLDD
XerezLWDLDWWWDWLWWLWLWWDLWDDLWWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Xerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 22 | 30 | 6 | 18 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lorca Deportiva | Xerez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 70% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 27% | 27% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 10% | 3% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Xerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.20 @ Betano
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ William Hill
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
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League standings
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