Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:00 •
Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 4
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.40)
1.87 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.1% | 22.5% | 46.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Madrid III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0 | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Real Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 50% | 100% |
| Attack | 27% | 36% |
| Defense | 73% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Real Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Rayo Vallecano II: WL • Real Madrid III: WW
League goals
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Real Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rayo Vallecano II | Real Madrid III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Real Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Real Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Real Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Real Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 37.3% | 62.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid III
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano II = 1.43 (league 1.40), Real Madrid III = 1.87 (league 1.07)
| Real Madrid III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0 | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 46.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1