Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 — Spain
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Municipal Mariano González
Match Finished

Navalcarnero

1 - 0

Quintanar del Rey

Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.40) 0.93 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 26.9% 24.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.6%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Quintanar del Rey
0 1 2 3 4 5
Navalcarnero 0 9.4% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNavalcarneroQuintanar del Rey
Played33
Form33%44%
Attack38%23%
Defense46%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.73 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 2.31 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Navalcarnero Quintanar del Rey
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses0%100%67%0%100%33%

Form: Navalcarnero: LWL • Quintanar del Rey: DLW

League goals

Metric Navalcarnero Quintanar del Rey
HATHAT
GF total235303
GF avg2.01.51.71.50.01.0
GA total167011
GA avg1.03.02.30.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNavalcarneroQuintanar del Rey
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%33%33%
1.567%67%33%0%
2.50%67%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNavalcarneroQuintanar del Rey
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricNavalcarneroQuintanar del Rey
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNavalcarneroQuintanar del Rey
Wins10
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-0—
Biggest losses—3-1—1-0
Goals For2230
Goals Against1301

Model comparison

MetricNavalcarneroQuintanar del Rey
Form43%57%
Att63%38%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.7%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : Navalcarnero or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.51 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ Pinnacle
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Navalcarnero vs Quintanar del Rey

Expected goals (λ): Navalcarnero = 1.43 (league 1.40), Quintanar del Rey = 0.93 (league 1.07)

Quintanar del Rey
0 1 2 3 4 5
Navalcarnero 0 9.4% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 24.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1