Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.43) 0.95 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.0% 27.1% 25.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Conquense 0 9.5% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 8.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricConquenseReal Madrid III
Played44
Form33%50%
Attack40%60%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 16 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 15 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Conquense Real Madrid III
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%50%50%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%50%50%50%

Form: Conquense: LLWD • Real Madrid III: WWLL

League goals

Metric Conquense Real Madrid III
HATHAT
GF total224246
GF avg1.01.01.01.02.01.5
GA total134145
GA avg0.51.51.00.52.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineConquenseReal Madrid III
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%75%
1.525%25%75%25%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricConquenseReal Madrid III
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricConquenseReal Madrid III
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricConquenseReal Madrid III
Wins12
Draws00
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-13-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricConquenseReal Madrid III
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Conquense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ 1xBet
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away2.92 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ Pinnacle
No1.63 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Conquense = 1.40 (league 1.43), Real Madrid III = 0.95 (league 1.05)

Real Madrid III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Conquense 0 9.5% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 8.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.0% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 25.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1