Wed, Nov 12 2025 • 19:00 •
Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 4
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.40)
0.75 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.9% | 27.6% | 20.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| RSD Alcalá | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | RSD Alcalá |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 8% | 38% |
| Defense | 31% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | RSD Alcalá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 75% | 0% | 38% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 25% | 75% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Rayo Vallecano II: WLWLWLDL • RSD Alcalá: LWDDWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | RSD Alcalá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rayo Vallecano II | RSD Alcalá | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | RSD Alcalá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | RSD Alcalá |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | RSD Alcalá |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | RSD Alcalá |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Rayo Vallecano II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano II = 1.39 (league 1.40), RSD Alcalá = 0.75 (league 1.07)
| RSD Alcalá | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.9% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 20.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1