Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:45 •
Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 4
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.43)
0.29 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7% | 27.4% | 7.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.2%
0 - 0
19.2%
2 - 0
17.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Quintanar del Rey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0 | 19.2% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.2% | 7.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Quintanar del Rey |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 7% |
| Attack | 8% | 8% |
| Defense | 25% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Quintanar del Rey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 75% | 50% | 40% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Rayo Vallecano II: WLWLWLDL • Quintanar del Rey: DLWLLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Quintanar del Rey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rayo Vallecano II | Quintanar del Rey | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 22% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 11% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 25% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Quintanar del Rey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Quintanar del Rey |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Quintanar del Rey |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-1 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano II | Quintanar del Rey |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 63.3% | 36.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Rayo Vallecano II or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano II = 1.37 (league 1.43), Quintanar del Rey = 0.29 (league 1.05)
| Quintanar del Rey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0 | 19.2% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.2% | 7.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.7% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 7.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1