Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Fernando Torres
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.52 (league 1.43) 0.61 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.6% 14.2% 6.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Navalcarnero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fuenlabrada 0 4.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.7% 7.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFuenlabradaNavalcarnero
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack46%15%
Defense38%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fuenlabrada Navalcarnero
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins25%33%30%60%0%30%
Draws50%0%20%40%40%40%
Loses25%67%50%0%60%30%

Form: Fuenlabrada: LLLWWDLDWL • Navalcarnero: LWLWDDDDLW

League goals

Metric Fuenlabrada Navalcarnero
HATHAT
GF total7714448
GF avg1.81.21.40.80.80.8
GA total3111411011
GA avg0.81.81.40.22.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFuenlabradaNavalcarnero
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%60%50%
1.530%40%20%30%
2.520%10%0%30%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFuenlabradaNavalcarnero
HATHAT
Clean sheets101415
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricFuenlabradaNavalcarnero
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFuenlabradaNavalcarnero
Wins21
Draws14
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-1—
Biggest losses0-13-1—3-0
Goals For5322
Goals Against1313

Model comparison

MetricFuenlabradaNavalcarnero
Form45%55%
Att75%25%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Fuenlabrada or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fuenlabrada = 2.52 (league 1.43), Navalcarnero = 0.61 (league 1.05)

Navalcarnero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fuenlabrada 0 4.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.7% 7.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.6% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 6.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1