Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Cerro del Espino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.43) 0.45 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.9% 19.8% 8.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
17.1%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Navalcarnero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Majadahonda 0 9.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.2% 8.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo MajadahondaNavalcarnero
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack100%63%
Defense63%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Majadahonda Navalcarnero
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%67%67%67%0%33%
Draws33%0%17%33%33%33%
Loses0%33%17%0%67%33%

Form: Rayo Majadahonda: WDLWLDWWWWWW • Navalcarnero: LWLWDDDDLWLW

League goals

Metric Rayo Majadahonda Navalcarnero
HATHAT
GF total96158412
GF avg1.51.01.31.30.71.0
GA total44821113
GA avg0.70.70.70.31.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo MajadahondaNavalcarnero
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%58%58%
1.542%17%25%25%
2.58%0%8%25%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo MajadahondaNavalcarnero
HATHAT
Clean sheets336415
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricRayo MajadahondaNavalcarnero
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRayo MajadahondaNavalcarnero
Wins11
Draws14
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-24-1—
Biggest losses—2-0—3-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricRayo MajadahondaNavalcarnero
Form68%32%
Att67%33%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h67%33%
Goals67%33%
Total68.7%31.5%

Advice: Double chance : Rayo Majadahonda or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Majadahonda = 1.89 (league 1.43), Navalcarnero = 0.45 (league 1.08)

Navalcarnero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Majadahonda 0 9.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.2% 8.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.9% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 8.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1