Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Cerro del Espino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.44) 0.64 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.5% 37.1% 26.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.2%
1 - 0
18.9%
0 - 1
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Intercity
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Majadahonda 0 23.2% 15.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.2% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo MajadahondaIntercity
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack54%62%
Defense100%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Majadahonda Intercity
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%63%63%50%25%38%
Draws38%13%25%25%63%44%
Loses0%25%13%25%13%19%

Form: Rayo Majadahonda: WDLWLDWWWWWWDDWW • Intercity: DDWWDDLDWLLWWDWD

League goals

Metric Rayo Majadahonda Intercity
HATHAT
GF total101020131124
GF avg1.31.31.31.61.41.5
GA total4489716
GA avg0.50.50.51.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo MajadahondaIntercity
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%38%75%63%
1.538%13%44%31%
2.513%0%25%6%
3.513%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo MajadahondaIntercity
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510336
Failed to score336134

Penalties

MetricRayo MajadahondaIntercity
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricRayo MajadahondaIntercity
Wins62
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-43-00-4
Biggest losses—2-00-22-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricRayo MajadahondaIntercity
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rayo Majadahonda or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Majadahonda = 0.82 (league 1.44), Intercity = 0.64 (league 1.09)

Intercity
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Majadahonda 0 23.2% 15.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.2% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 26.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1