Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 18:30 • Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.44) 0.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 34.2% 36.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
17.0%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
SS Reyes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid III 0 18.7% 17.0% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.0% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Madrid IIISS Reyes
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack24%33%
Defense67%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid III SS Reyes
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%25%25%50%63%56%
Draws50%13%31%25%0%13%
Loses25%63%44%25%38%31%

Form: Real Madrid III: WWLLLDWDLWLLDDLD • SS Reyes: WWWLWLLWLDWWWDWL

League goals

Metric Real Madrid III SS Reyes
HATHAT
GF total9101911920
GF avg1.11.31.21.41.11.3
GA total713206814
GA avg0.91.61.30.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Madrid IIISS Reyes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%94%75%56%
1.538%19%38%19%
2.513%13%13%6%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Madrid IIISS Reyes
HATHAT
Clean sheets101347
Failed to score235224

Penalties

MetricReal Madrid IIISS Reyes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricReal Madrid IIISS Reyes
Wins23
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-21-24-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against1324

Model comparison

MetricReal Madrid IIISS Reyes
Form23%77%
Att42%58%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SS Reyes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid III = 0.77 (league 1.44), SS Reyes = 0.91 (league 1.09)

SS Reyes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid III 0 18.7% 17.0% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.0% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 36.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1