Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 09:30 •
Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.46)
0.50 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.6% | 27.0% | 13.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.8%
2 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Las Palmas II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RSD Alcalá | 0 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Las Palmas II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 67% | 50% |
| Defense | 58% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Las Palmas II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 64% | 13% | 38% | 47% | 21% | 34% |
| Draws | 21% | 33% | 28% | 20% | 36% | 28% |
| Loses | 14% | 53% | 34% | 33% | 43% | 38% |
Form: RSD Alcalá: LWDDWLWDWLDLWLWDDLDLWLLDWWLWW • Las Palmas II: LLWLLWWDWDWLDLLWWLWDDDWLLDLWD
League goals
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Las Palmas II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 16 | 34 | 23 | 15 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 29 | 36 | 15 | 22 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | RSD Alcalá | Las Palmas II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 69% | 76% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 38% | 41% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 17% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Las Palmas II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Las Palmas II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Las Palmas II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Las Palmas II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.3% |
Advice: Double chance : RSD Alcalá or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): RSD Alcalá = 1.42 (league 1.46), Las Palmas II = 0.50 (league 1.10)
| Las Palmas II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RSD Alcalá | 0 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 13.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1