Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 10:00 •
Estadio Municipal Mariano González
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.43)
0.80 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.1% | 29.2% | 23.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Conquense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Navalcarnero | 0 | 12.7% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Navalcarnero | Conquense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 45% | 73% |
| Defense | 27% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Navalcarnero | Conquense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 60% | 0% | 29% | 63% | 27% | 45% |
| Draws | 27% | 31% | 29% | 25% | 53% | 39% |
| Loses | 13% | 69% | 42% | 13% | 20% | 16% |
NavalcarneroLWLWDDDDLWLWDWWDDLDLLDWLWLWLLLL
ConquenseLLWDWDDDWDDWDDWDLWLWWWWDWWWDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Navalcarnero | Conquense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 12 | 35 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 29 | 41 | 10 | 18 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Navalcarnero | Conquense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 74% | 77% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 32% | 45% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 23% | 6% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Navalcarnero | Conquense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Navalcarnero | Conquense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Navalcarnero | Conquense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Navalcarnero | Conquense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.65 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.63 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ Unibet
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League standings
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