Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 14:00 • Estádio das Seixas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.44) 1.04 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 28.9% 31.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Farense U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 10.9% 11.3% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.3% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 7.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrela U23Farense U23
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack38%19%
Defense31%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela U23 Farense U23
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins25%0%13%20%33%25%
Draws25%50%38%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%80%67%75%

Form: Estrela U23: LDWLLDLD • Farense U23: LWLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Estrela U23 Farense U23
HATHAT
GF total4610437
GF avg1.01.51.30.81.00.9
GA total510159514
GA avg1.32.51.91.81.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrela U23Farense U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%63%88%
1.525%50%25%63%
2.513%38%0%25%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrela U23Farense U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricEstrela U23Farense U23
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricEstrela U23Farense U23
Wins11
Draws10
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-10-2
Biggest losses1-34-11-33-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricEstrela U23Farense U23
Form40%60%
Att67%33%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h75%25%
Goals57%43%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Estrela U23 or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Unibet
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela U23 = 1.18 (league 1.44), Farense U23 = 1.04 (league 1.26)

Farense U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 10.9% 11.3% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.3% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 7.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 31.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1