Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:00 • Herlev Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.79) 0.66 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 37.5% 27.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.6%
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 1
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Frederikssund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Herlev 0 23.6% 15.6% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerlevFrederikssund
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack21%47%
Defense32%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Herlev Frederikssund
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%67%33%67%33%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%33%67%33%67%50%

Form: Herlev: WLWLLL • Frederikssund: LLLWWW

League goals

Metric Herlev Frederikssund
HATHAT
GF total246819
GF avg0.71.31.02.70.31.5
GA total103135611
GA avg3.31.02.21.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerlevFrederikssund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%83%
1.517%67%50%50%
2.50%50%17%33%
3.50%17%17%17%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerlevFrederikssund
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricHerlevFrederikssund
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHerlevFrederikssund
Wins10
Draws00
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-10-1
Biggest losses1-53-12-34-0
Goals For1241
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricHerlevFrederikssund
Form25%75%
Att31%69%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h40%60%
Goals35%65%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Frederikssund

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Herlev = 0.78 (league 1.79), Frederikssund = 0.66 (league 1.49)

Frederikssund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Herlev 0 23.6% 15.6% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1