Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:00 •
Vestamager Idrætsanlæg
Expected Goals
4.08 (league 1.79)
0.47 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
best score tips
4 - 0
12.2%
3 - 0
12.0%
5 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Næstved II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tårnby FF | 0 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.2% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tårnby FF | Næstved II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 20% |
| Attack | 59% | 53% |
| Defense | 71% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 18 | 3.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tårnby FF | Næstved II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 86% |
Form: Tårnby FF: DWWDWWW • Næstved II: LLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Tårnby FF | Næstved II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 3.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tårnby FF | Næstved II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 57% | 71% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 43% | 86% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 29% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tårnby FF | Næstved II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tårnby FF | Næstved II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tårnby FF | Næstved II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-4 | 7-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tårnby FF | Næstved II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 81% | 19% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Tårnby FF and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tårnby FF = 4.08 (league 1.79), Næstved II = 0.47 (league 1.49)
| Næstved II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tårnby FF | 0 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.2% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 4.3% · Away win 1.4%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1