Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 •
Mørdrup Idrætsanlæg
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.66)
4.76 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7% | 2.4% | 62.8% |
best score tips
0 - 4
12.0%
0 - 5
11.4%
0 - 3
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Såby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Espergærde | 0 | 0.6% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Espergærde | Såby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 46% | 38% |
| Defense | 8% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Espergærde | Såby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 75% | 71% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Espergærde: LWLLWLL • Såby: WWWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Espergærde | Såby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Espergærde | Såby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 100% | 57% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | 57% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Espergærde | Såby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Espergærde | Såby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Espergærde | Såby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Espergærde | Såby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 8% | 92% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 29.0% | 71.0% |
Advice: Winner : Såby
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Espergærde = 0.42 (league 1.66), Såby = 4.76 (league 1.53)
| Såby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Espergærde | 0 | 0.6% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.7% · Draw 2.4% · Away win 62.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1