Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:00 •
Emerson Arena Kunst
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.66)
2.38 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.0% | 19.4% | 44.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.3%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Espergærde | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Næstved II | 0 | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Næstved II | Espergærde |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 69% | 50% |
| Defense | 0% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
88%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Næstved II | Espergærde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 75% | 75% | 75% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
Form: Næstved II: LLLLWLLD • Espergærde: LWLLWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Næstved II | Espergærde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Næstved II | Espergærde | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 88% | 38% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 50% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Næstved II | Espergærde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Næstved II | Espergærde |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Næstved II | Espergærde |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 7-2 | 0-5 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Næstved II | Espergærde |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 32% | 68% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Espergærde and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Næstved II = 1.95 (league 1.66), Espergærde = 2.38 (league 1.53)
| Espergærde | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Næstved II | 0 | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.0% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 44.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1