Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 12:00 • Herlev Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.79) 1.61 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.1% 24.2% 63.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 2
15.2%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Espergærde
0 1 2 3 4 5
Herlev 0 11.7% 18.9% 15.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0%
1 6.3% 10.1% 8.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerlevEspergærde
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack22%44%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Herlev Espergærde
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins20%50%33%25%20%22%
Draws20%25%22%25%20%22%
Loses60%25%44%50%60%56%

Form: Herlev: WLWLLLWDD • Espergærde: LWLLWLLDD

League goals

Metric Herlev Espergærde
HATHAT
GF total3585611
GF avg0.61.30.91.31.21.2
GA total1041410818
GA avg2.01.01.62.51.62.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerlevEspergærde
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%78%100%
1.511%44%33%67%
2.50%33%11%11%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%11%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerlevEspergærde
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score202202

Penalties

MetricHerlevEspergærde
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHerlevEspergærde
Wins11
Draws00
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-11-2
Biggest losses1-53-10-52-1
Goals For1232
Goals Against5352

Model comparison

MetricHerlevEspergærde
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total42.3%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : Herlev or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Herlev = 0.54 (league 1.79), Espergærde = 1.61 (league 1.49)

Espergærde
0 1 2 3 4 5
Herlev 0 11.7% 18.9% 15.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0%
1 6.3% 10.1% 8.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.1% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 63.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1