Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 12:00 •
Herlev Stadion
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.79)
1.61 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 24.2% | 63.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 2
15.2%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Espergærde | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herlev | 0 | 11.7% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Herlev | Espergærde |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 22% | 44% |
| Defense | 67% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Herlev | Espergærde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 20% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 20% | 22% |
| Draws | 20% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% | 22% |
| Loses | 60% | 25% | 44% | 50% | 60% | 56% |
Form: Herlev: WLWLLLWDD • Espergærde: LWLLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Herlev | Espergærde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Herlev | Espergærde | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 56% | 78% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 44% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Herlev | Espergærde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Herlev | Espergærde |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Herlev | Espergærde |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Herlev | Espergærde |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Herlev or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Herlev = 0.54 (league 1.79), Espergærde = 1.61 (league 1.49)
| Espergærde | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herlev | 0 | 11.7% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.1% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 63.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
