Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 •
Mørdrup Idrætsanlæg
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.75)
0.48 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.9% | 29.8% | 14.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Frederikssund | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Espergærde | 0 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Espergærde | Frederikssund |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 30% | 26% |
| Defense | 57% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Espergærde | Frederikssund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 25% | 14% | 18% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Draws | 25% | 29% | 27% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| Loses | 50% | 57% | 55% | 33% | 83% | 58% |
Form: Espergærde: LWLLWLLDDDL • Frederikssund: LLLWWWLWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Espergærde | Frederikssund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Espergærde | Frederikssund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 100% | 67% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 73% | 33% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 18% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Espergærde | Frederikssund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Espergærde | Frederikssund |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Espergærde | Frederikssund |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Espergærde | Frederikssund |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Frederikssund
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Espergærde = 1.27 (league 1.75), Frederikssund = 0.48 (league 1.55)
| Frederikssund | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Espergærde | 0 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 14.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1