Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 13:00 •
Mørdrup Idrætsanlæg
Expected Goals
2.92 (league 1.74)
1.51 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.9% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Næstved II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Espergærde | 0 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Espergærde | Næstved II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 41% | 76% |
| Defense | 82% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Espergærde | Næstved II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 43% | 22% | 31% | 56% | 13% | 35% |
| Draws | 14% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 13% | 12% |
| Loses | 43% | 56% | 50% | 33% | 75% | 53% |
Form: Espergærde: LWLLWLLDDDLWLLWW • Næstved II: LLLLWLLDDWLLWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Espergærde | Næstved II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 31 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Espergærde | Næstved II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 81% | 82% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 56% | 59% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 24% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 12% | 41% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 18% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Espergærde | Næstved II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Espergærde | Næstved II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Espergærde | Næstved II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Espergærde | Næstved II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Espergærde or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Espergærde = 2.92 (league 1.74), Næstved II = 1.51 (league 1.47)
| Næstved II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Espergærde | 0 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.9% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 17.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1