Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:30 •
Marienlystcentret
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 2.18)
1.46 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2% | 26.6% | 50.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Tarup-Paarup | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marienlyst | 0 | 9.7% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marienlyst | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 73% |
| Attack | 43% | 61% |
| Defense | 86% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marienlyst | Tarup-Paarup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Marienlyst: WWWWWW • Tarup-Paarup: WDDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Marienlyst | Tarup-Paarup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marienlyst | Tarup-Paarup | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | 67% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marienlyst | Tarup-Paarup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marienlyst | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marienlyst | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-2 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marienlyst | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Marienlyst or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marienlyst = 0.87 (league 2.18), Tarup-Paarup = 1.46 (league 1.77)
| Tarup-Paarup | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marienlyst | 0 | 9.7% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 50.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1