Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:30 •
TESS Arena Esbjerg - kunstgræsbane 5
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 2.18)
0.39 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.7% | 27.6% | 10.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.5%
0 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Marienlyst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Esbjerg II | 0 | 17.1% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Marienlyst |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 100% |
| Attack | 68% | 45% |
| Defense | 55% | 95% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Marienlyst | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 71% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Esbjerg II: WWWLLWW • Marienlyst: WWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Marienlyst | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Esbjerg II | Marienlyst | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 71% | 100% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 86% | 29% | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Marienlyst | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Marienlyst |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Marienlyst |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Esbjerg II | Marienlyst |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 9% | 91% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Esbjerg II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Esbjerg II = 1.37 (league 2.18), Marienlyst = 0.39 (league 1.77)
| Marienlyst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Esbjerg II | 0 | 17.1% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 10.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1