Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 •
Elsborg Park
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 2.18)
3.17 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | 10.9% | 72.6% |
best score tips
0 - 3
9.8%
0 - 2
9.3%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Tarup-Paarup | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hedensted | 0 | 1.9% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hedensted | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 33% | 63% |
| Defense | 54% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hedensted | Tarup-Paarup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 75% | 0% | 38% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 100% | 63% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Form: Hedensted: LLLDDLDL • Tarup-Paarup: WDDWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Hedensted | Tarup-Paarup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hedensted | Tarup-Paarup | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 75% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 63% | 50% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 50% | 38% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hedensted | Tarup-Paarup | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hedensted | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hedensted | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 5-2 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hedensted | Tarup-Paarup |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 39.7% | 60.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Tarup-Paarup and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hedensted = 0.82 (league 2.18), Tarup-Paarup = 3.17 (league 1.77)
| Tarup-Paarup | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hedensted | 0 | 1.9% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.4% · Draw 10.9% · Away win 72.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1