Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 11:00 •
Elsborg Park
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 2.18)
2.54 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 18.7% | 44.9% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 2
6.7%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Esbjerg II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hedensted | 0 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hedensted | Esbjerg II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 71% |
| Defense | 57% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hedensted | Esbjerg II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 11% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 20% | 100% | 56% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Hedensted: LLLDDLDLW • Esbjerg II: WWWLLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Hedensted | Esbjerg II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hedensted | Esbjerg II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 89% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 56% | 88% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 44% | 63% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 22% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hedensted | Esbjerg II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hedensted | Esbjerg II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hedensted | Esbjerg II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-2 | — | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hedensted | Esbjerg II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Hedensted or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hedensted = 2.06 (league 2.18), Esbjerg II = 2.54 (league 1.77)
| Esbjerg II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hedensted | 0 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 44.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1