Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 12:00 • Home Tarup Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.24 (league 2.18) 2.45 (league 1.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 16.1% 25.6%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.8%
2 - 2
5.3%
3 - 1
4.7%
Score & goals probability table
Horsens II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tarup-Paarup 0 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.1% 2.7% 3.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.8%
2 1.8% 4.4% 5.3% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3%
3 1.9% 4.7% 5.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
4 1.6% 3.8% 4.7% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
5 1.0% 2.5% 3.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTarup-PaarupHorsens II
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack17%79%
Defense52%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 123 | 4.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tarup-Paarup Horsens II
HATHAT
Played57126511
Wins40%43%42%50%20%36%
Draws20%14%17%0%20%9%
Loses40%43%42%50%60%55%

Form: Tarup-Paarup: WDDWWWLLLLLW • Horsens II: LLDLLLLWWWW

League goals

Metric Tarup-Paarup Horsens II
HATHAT
GF total81624161329
GF avg1.62.32.02.72.62.6
GA total91322142236
GA avg1.81.91.82.34.43.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTarup-PaarupHorsens II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%92%82%100%
1.542%50%64%73%
2.533%17%45%36%
3.517%17%27%36%
4.517%8%9%36%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTarup-PaarupHorsens II
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score213202

Penalties

MetricTarup-PaarupHorsens II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTarup-PaarupHorsens II
Wins30
Draws21
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-79-12-4
Biggest losses0-45-11-78-2
Goals For5794
Goals Against4578

Model comparison

MetricTarup-PaarupHorsens II
Form20%80%
Att18%82%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Horsens II and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tarup-Paarup = 3.24 (league 2.18), Horsens II = 2.45 (league 1.91)

Horsens II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tarup-Paarup 0 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.1% 2.7% 3.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.8%
2 1.8% 4.4% 5.3% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3%
3 1.9% 4.7% 5.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
4 1.6% 3.8% 4.7% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
5 1.0% 2.5% 3.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1