Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 13:00 •
Home Tarup Park
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 2.12)
1.74 (league 1.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.8% | 22.9% | 40.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Hedensted | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tarup-Paarup | 0 | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tarup-Paarup | Hedensted |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 62% | 62% |
| Defense | 0% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tarup-Paarup | Hedensted | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 33% | 35% | 22% | 13% | 18% |
| Draws | 13% | 22% | 18% | 56% | 13% | 35% |
| Loses | 50% | 44% | 47% | 22% | 75% | 47% |
Form: Tarup-Paarup: WDDWWWLLLLLWLWLLD • Hedensted: LLLDDLDLWLLDLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Tarup-Paarup | Hedensted | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 18 | 18 | 36 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tarup-Paarup | Hedensted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 88% | 88% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% | 53% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 12% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 24% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 12% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tarup-Paarup | Hedensted | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tarup-Paarup | Hedensted |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tarup-Paarup | Hedensted |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-7 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-1 | 3-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tarup-Paarup | Hedensted |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 36.2% | 63.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Hedensted
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tarup-Paarup = 1.58 (league 2.12), Hedensted = 1.74 (league 1.86)
| Hedensted | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tarup-Paarup | 0 | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 40.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1