Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 •
Frejaparken
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.93)
3.11 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7% | 8.2% | 79.6% |
best score tips
0 - 3
14.7%
0 - 2
14.2%
0 - 4
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Holstebro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aalborg Freja | 0 | 2.9% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 7.1% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aalborg Freja | Holstebro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 87% |
| Attack | 12% | 64% |
| Defense | 68% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aalborg Freja | Holstebro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 14% | 100% | 33% | 71% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 67% | 75% | 71% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Aalborg Freja: LDLLWLL • Holstebro: WLWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Aalborg Freja | Holstebro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aalborg Freja | Holstebro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 86% | 100% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 57% | 100% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 29% | 86% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 43% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aalborg Freja | Holstebro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aalborg Freja | Holstebro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aalborg Freja | Holstebro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-1 | — | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aalborg Freja | Holstebro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 19% | 81% |
| Att | 16% | 84% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 12% | 88% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 22.7% | 77.3% |
Advice: Winner : Holstebro
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aalborg Freja = 0.42 (league 1.93), Holstebro = 3.11 (league 1.74)
| Holstebro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aalborg Freja | 0 | 2.9% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 7.1% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.7% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 79.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1