Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 13:30 • The Den
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 2.08) 2.66 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.6% 17.3% 33.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
5.8%
3 - 2
5.5%
2 - 3
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Swansea City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall U21 0 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
1 1.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.7% 2.4% 1.3%
2 1.7% 4.4% 5.8% 5.2% 3.4% 1.8%
3 1.6% 4.1% 5.5% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7%
4 1.1% 2.9% 3.9% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%
5 0.6% 1.7% 2.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwall U21Swansea City U21
Played55
Form100%40%
Attack81%57%
Defense81%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall U21 Swansea City U21
HATHAT
Played77145510
Wins57%43%50%80%40%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses43%57%50%20%60%40%

Form: Millwall U21: LLLWLWLLLWWWWW • Swansea City U21: WWWLWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Millwall U21 Swansea City U21
HATHAT
GF total151328161228
GF avg2.11.92.03.22.42.8
GA total13122561420
GA avg1.91.71.81.22.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwall U21Swansea City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%90%60%
1.564%43%70%50%
2.529%36%60%40%
3.521%21%40%30%
4.57%0%10%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwall U21Swansea City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricMillwall U21Swansea City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMillwall U21Swansea City U21
Wins13
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-66-00-4
Biggest losses0-44-00-35-2
Goals For4664
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricMillwall U21Swansea City U21
Form71%29%
Att59%41%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Millwall U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ 10Bet
Draw4.34 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.31 @ Superbet
No3.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall U21 = 2.83 (league 2.08), Swansea City U21 = 2.66 (league 1.71)

Swansea City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall U21 0 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
1 1.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.7% 2.4% 1.3%
2 1.7% 4.4% 5.8% 5.2% 3.4% 1.8%
3 1.6% 4.1% 5.5% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7%
4 1.1% 2.9% 3.9% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%
5 0.6% 1.7% 2.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1