Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 13:30 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 2.11) 2.51 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.5% 18.3% 37.0%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.6%
2 - 3
5.5%
3 - 2
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Swansea City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall U21 0 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6%
1 1.7% 4.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4%
2 2.1% 5.2% 6.6% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.7% 4.4% 5.5% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4%
4 1.1% 2.7% 3.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
5 0.5% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwall U21Swansea City U21
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack89%63%
Defense79%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall U21 Swansea City U21
HATHAT
Played77145611
Wins57%43%50%80%33%55%
Draws0%0%0%0%17%9%
Loses43%57%50%20%50%36%

Form: Millwall U21: LLLWLWLLLWWWWW • Swansea City U21: WWWLWLWLWLD

League goals

Metric Millwall U21 Swansea City U21
HATHAT
GF total151328161329
GF avg2.11.92.03.22.22.6
GA total13122561521
GA avg1.91.71.81.22.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwall U21Swansea City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%91%64%
1.564%43%64%45%
2.529%36%55%36%
3.521%21%36%27%
4.57%0%9%18%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwall U21Swansea City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricMillwall U21Swansea City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMillwall U21Swansea City U21
Wins13
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-66-00-4
Biggest losses0-44-00-35-2
Goals For4664
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricMillwall U21Swansea City U21
Form68%32%
Att59%41%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Millwall U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Bet365
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away2.22 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.27 @ Unibet
No4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.27 @ Unibet
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall U21 = 2.49 (league 2.11), Swansea City U21 = 2.51 (league 1.67)

Swansea City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall U21 0 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6%
1 1.7% 4.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4%
2 2.1% 5.2% 6.6% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.7% 4.4% 5.5% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4%
4 1.1% 2.7% 3.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
5 0.5% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 37.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1