Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 17:00 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 2.10) 2.15 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 20.7% 51.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.6%
1 - 3
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Bournemouth U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City U21 0 2.8% 6.0% 6.5% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
1 4.0% 8.6% 9.2% 6.6% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol City U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Played55
Form7%80%
Attack26%74%
Defense32%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City U21 AFC Bournemouth U21
HATHAT
Played448628
Wins25%0%13%83%50%75%
Draws25%0%13%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%75%17%50%25%

Form: Bristol City U21: LLWDLLLL • AFC Bournemouth U21: WWLWLWWW

League goals

Metric Bristol City U21 AFC Bournemouth U21
HATHAT
GF total62815419
GF avg1.50.51.02.52.02.4
GA total71118347
GA avg1.82.82.30.52.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol City U21AFC Bournemouth U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%88%63%
1.525%88%75%13%
2.50%25%50%13%
3.50%13%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol City U21AFC Bournemouth U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000303
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricBristol City U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBristol City U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Wins12
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-11-2
Biggest losses1-24-10-13-2
Goals For2142
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricBristol City U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Form8%92%
Att26%74%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h25%75%
Goals42%58%
Total28.5%71.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Bournemouth U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Betano
Draw4.61 @ Pinnacle
Away1.76 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ William Hill
No3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bristol City U21 = 1.43 (league 2.10), AFC Bournemouth U21 = 2.15 (league 1.67)

AFC Bournemouth U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City U21 0 2.8% 6.0% 6.5% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
1 4.0% 8.6% 9.2% 6.6% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 51.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1