Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 14:00 • University College London
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 2.08) 2.59 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.6% 17.5% 59.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Swansea City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford U21 0 2.0% 5.1% 6.7% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
1 2.6% 6.8% 8.9% 7.6% 5.0% 2.6%
2 1.7% 4.5% 5.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7%
3 0.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatford U21Swansea City U21
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack23%55%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford U21 Swansea City U21
HATHAT
Played5611347
Wins20%33%27%100%50%71%
Draws40%33%36%0%0%0%
Loses40%33%36%0%50%29%

Form: Watford U21: DDDWLWLLWDL • Swansea City U21: WWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Watford U21 Swansea City U21
HATHAT
GF total6111713821
GF avg1.21.81.54.32.03.0
GA total1110213912
GA avg2.21.71.91.02.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatford U21Swansea City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%91%100%57%
1.545%55%71%43%
2.536%27%57%29%
3.50%9%43%29%
4.50%9%14%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatford U21Swansea City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricWatford U21Swansea City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWatford U21Swansea City U21
Wins13
Draws30
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-36-00-4
Biggest losses0-53-1—5-2
Goals For3364
Goals Against5325

Model comparison

MetricWatford U21Swansea City U21
Form31%69%
Att29%71%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total36.2%63.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Swansea City U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 10Bet
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.33 @ Unibet
No3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford U21 = 1.33 (league 2.08), Swansea City U21 = 2.59 (league 1.70)

Swansea City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford U21 0 2.0% 5.1% 6.7% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
1 2.6% 6.8% 8.9% 7.6% 5.0% 2.6%
2 1.7% 4.5% 5.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7%
3 0.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.6% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 59.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1