Tue, Jan 13 2026 • 19:00 •
Cardiff International Sports Stadium
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 2.08)
1.40 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.5% | 23.4% | 30.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Watford U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cardiff City U21 | 0 | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cardiff City U21 | Watford U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 53% | 88% |
| Defense | 59% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cardiff City U21 | Watford U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 40% |
| Draws | 17% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 43% | 33% |
Form: Cardiff City U21: DWLWDWWWLLWD • Watford U21: DDDWLWLLWDLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Cardiff City U21 | Watford U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cardiff City U21 | Watford U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 73% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 53% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 8% | 47% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 13% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cardiff City U21 | Watford U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cardiff City U21 | Watford U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cardiff City U21 | Watford U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 6-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cardiff City U21 | Watford U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 59.2% | 41.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Cardiff City U21 or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cardiff City U21 = 1.73 (league 2.08), Watford U21 = 1.40 (league 1.71)
| Watford U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cardiff City U21 | 0 | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 30.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1