Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 13:00 • Florence Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 2.08) 2.56 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 18.6% 48.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.3%
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 3
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Bournemouth U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester United U21 0 1.2% 3.0% 3.9% 3.3% 2.1% 1.1%
1 2.2% 5.7% 7.3% 6.2% 4.0% 2.0%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.3% 1.2%
4 0.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchester United U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Played55
Form7%60%
Attack16%58%
Defense0%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)21 | 4.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchester United U21 AFC Bournemouth U21
HATHAT
Played76138614
Wins29%17%23%75%50%64%
Draws29%0%15%0%0%0%
Loses43%83%62%25%50%36%

Form: Colchester United U21: WWWLDLLLLDLLL • AFC Bournemouth U21: WWLWLWWWLLWLWW

League goals

Metric Colchester United U21 AFC Bournemouth U21
HATHAT
GF total12416201030
GF avg1.70.71.22.51.72.1
GA total18193781422
GA avg2.63.22.81.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchester United U21AFC Bournemouth U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%92%86%79%
1.538%77%64%36%
2.515%54%43%29%
3.58%31%21%14%
4.50%15%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchester United U21AFC Bournemouth U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets011303
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricColchester United U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricColchester United U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Wins33
Draws10
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-12-3
Biggest losses0-66-01-44-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against6644

Model comparison

MetricColchester United U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Form10%90%
Att21%79%
Def34%66%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%100%
Goals6%94%
Total23.2%76.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AFC Bournemouth U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.33 @ Betfair
Draw4.99 @ Pinnacle
Away1.61 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.34 @ Unibet
No3.25 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Colchester United U21 = 1.88 (league 2.08), AFC Bournemouth U21 = 2.56 (league 1.73)

AFC Bournemouth U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester United U21 0 1.2% 3.0% 3.9% 3.3% 2.1% 1.1%
1 2.2% 5.7% 7.3% 6.2% 4.0% 2.0%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.3% 1.2%
4 0.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 48.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1