Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 11:00 •
Swansea City FC Youth Academy Training Centre
Expected Goals
3.34 (league 2.13)
1.47 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.4%
2 - 1
6.7%
4 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Watford U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swansea City U21 | 0 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Swansea City U21 | Watford U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 89% | 79% |
| Defense | 68% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
63%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Swansea City U21 | Watford U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 67% | 45% | 57% | 62% | 25% | 44% |
| Draws | 17% | 9% | 13% | 23% | 33% | 28% |
| Loses | 17% | 45% | 30% | 15% | 42% | 28% |
Form: Swansea City U21: WWWLWLWLWLDWDWLWWLDWWLW • Watford U21: DDDWLWLLWDLWWLWWWLWDDWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Swansea City U21 | Watford U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 24 | 61 | 40 | 23 | 63 |
| GF avg | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 15 | 27 | 42 | 21 | 28 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Swansea City U21 | Watford U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 74% | 80% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 43% | 68% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 30% | 52% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 39% | 17% | 24% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 13% | 20% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Swansea City U21 | Watford U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Swansea City U21 | Watford U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Swansea City U21 | Watford U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-4 | 6-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Swansea City U21 | Watford U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Swansea City U21 or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Swansea City U21 = 3.34 (league 2.13), Watford U21 = 1.47 (league 1.68)
| Watford U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swansea City U21 | 0 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 12.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1