Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 13:00 • University College London
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.32 (league 2.11) 1.63 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 14.1% 14.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 1
6.4%
4 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Bournemouth U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford U21 0 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.4% 3.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.9% 6.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
3 4.3% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 3.6% 5.9% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
5 2.4% 3.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatford U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack100%78%
Defense50%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford U21 AFC Bournemouth U21
HATHAT
Played1091911819
Wins60%33%47%73%38%58%
Draws20%22%21%9%0%5%
Loses20%44%32%18%63%37%

Form: Watford U21: DDDWLWLLWDLWWLWWWLW • AFC Bournemouth U21: WWLWLWWWLLWLWWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Watford U21 AFC Bournemouth U21
HATHAT
GF total281846311344
GF avg2.82.02.42.81.62.3
GA total172138102030
GA avg1.72.32.00.92.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatford U21AFC Bournemouth U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%84%89%74%
1.563%53%68%42%
2.553%32%42%26%
3.521%21%26%16%
4.521%11%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatford U21AFC Bournemouth U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets213505
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricWatford U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricWatford U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Wins33
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-55-02-3
Biggest losses0-54-01-44-0
Goals For6553
Goals Against5544

Model comparison

MetricWatford U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Form63%37%
Att56%44%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Watford U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Unibet
Draw4.32 @ Pinnacle
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.30 @ Unibet
No3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford U21 = 3.32 (league 2.11), AFC Bournemouth U21 = 1.63 (league 1.67)

AFC Bournemouth U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford U21 0 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.4% 3.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.9% 6.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
3 4.3% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 3.6% 5.9% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
5 2.4% 3.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 14.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1